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Module 4 of 8 · 10:45

Supply, valuation and token economics

A low token price does not tell you whether an asset is cheap. Learn how supply, market capitalisation, dilution and unlocks change the picture.

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Chapters in this module
  1. Intro
  2. Look beyond the token price
  3. Three measures of supply
  4. Market cap and dilution
  5. Unlocks and ownership
  6. Utility and value capture
  7. Read the token economics
  8. Check your understanding

In this module

  • Distinguish circulating, total and maximum supply.
  • Compare market capitalisation and fully diluted valuation.
  • Examine unlocks, ownership, utility and value capture.

Unit price is only the beginning

A token priced at a few cents is not necessarily cheaper in valuation terms than one priced at hundreds of dollars. The number of units matters. Two assets can have very different unit prices and the same market capitalisation.

Circulating supply estimates the units currently available in the market. Total supply includes existing units under the chosen methodology. Maximum supply describes a limit where one exists. Definitions and data-provider methods differ, so compare like with like.

Market cap and fully diluted valuation

Market capitalisation is price multiplied by circulating supply. Fully diluted valuation applies a price to a broader supply measure, commonly total or maximum supply. Check which measure a source uses.

Neither figure is a pile of cash available for holders to withdraw. They apply a quoted price to a supply figure. Selling a large amount can move that price, particularly in a thin market. Fully diluted valuation is also not a forecast of the price after future issuance.

Unlocks, ownership and value capture

Unlock schedules describe when restricted tokens may become transferable. An unlock increases the amount that can potentially be sold; it does not prove that everyone will sell. Check who owns the tokens, the size and timing of releases, ongoing issuance and any burning mechanism.

A project can be useful without its token automatically capturing the resulting value. Ask what the token does: pays fees, grants access, supports governance, provides collateral, or something else. Then ask how that function connects to demand, rewards and costs.

Takeaway: combine price with supply, ownership, release schedules and the token’s actual role. One valuation ratio cannot answer the whole question.

Further reading

Provider documentation explains particular designs. It is not a product endorsement.

Check your understanding

Does a token unlock mean every unlocked token will be sold?

Reveal the answer

No. It makes tokens available for transfer under the schedule. Holders may sell, hold or use them; the schedule alone does not tell you which.

Ready to move on?

Mark this module complete when you have finished the video and reviewed the key ideas.

General education, not personal investment advice. Examples illustrate concepts; they are not recommendations or forecasts.